Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001435 0.001489 0.001544 0.001604 0.001669 0.001737 0.001813
2025-08-03 0.001335 0.001411 0.001492 0.001584 0.001688 0.001802 0.001936
2025-08-10 0.001278 0.001371 0.001472 0.001593 0.001733 0.001892 0.002090
2025-08-17 0.001222 0.001326 0.001442 0.001583 0.001752 0.001951 0.002208
2025-08-24 0.001173 0.001284 0.001411 0.001567 0.001760 0.001993 0.002306
2025-08-31 0.001154 0.001276 0.001416 0.001594 0.001818 0.002099 0.002493
2025-09-07 0.001128 0.001256 0.001406 0.001599 0.001849 0.002172 0.002640
2025-09-14 0.001094 0.001225 0.001381 0.001584 0.001852 0.002205 0.002734
2025-09-21 0.001061 0.001193 0.001353 0.001563 0.001845 0.002223 0.002806
2025-09-28 0.001034 0.001169 0.001332 0.001551 0.001847 0.002254 0.002899
2025-10-05 0.000993 0.001124 0.001284 0.001500 0.001795 0.002203 0.002860
2025-10-12 0.000972 0.001105 0.001269 0.001491 0.001799 0.002233 0.002951
2025-10-19 0.000959 0.001096 0.001265 0.001498 0.001826 0.002301 0.003114
2025-10-26 0.000939 0.001077 0.001249 0.001488 0.001829 0.002332 0.003218
2025-11-02 0.000929 0.001070 0.001248 0.001499 0.001862 0.002410 0.003416
2025-11-09 0.000913 0.001055 0.001235 0.001491 0.001868 0.002447 0.003541
2025-11-16 0.000894 0.001037 0.001218 0.001478 0.001863 0.002466 0.003635
2025-11-23 0.000892 0.001038 0.001227 0.001502 0.001917 0.002583 0.003945
2025-11-30 0.000882 0.001031 0.001224 0.001507 0.001941 0.002654 0.004171
2025-12-07 0.000866 0.001015 0.001208 0.001493 0.001935 0.002672 0.004281
2025-12-14 0.000849 0.000996 0.001189 0.001475 0.001920 0.002671 0.004349
2025-12-21 0.000836 0.000983 0.001176 0.001463 0.001916 0.002691 0.004469
2025-12-28 0.000811 0.000953 0.001140 0.001418 0.001855 0.002602 0.004308